FrameShield: Overlap Burden Predicts Off-Frame Stop Enrichment in a Reproducible Viral Genome Panel
Compact viral genomes face a distinctive translation risk: off-frame translation can run too far before termination. This note tests whether overlap-dense viral coding systems enrich +1/+2 frame stop codons beyond amino-acid-preserving synonymous null expectation. On a fixed 19-genome RefSeq panel fetched live from NCBI, overlap fraction correlates positively with off-frame stop enrichment (Spearman rho = 0.377). The high-overlap group has median z = 2.386 with 7/8 positive genomes and 4/8 at z >= 2, while all three large-DNA controls are depleted relative to their nulls. The result is not universal — HBV is a strong negative outlier — but it is strong enough to support a narrow FrameShield hypothesis and fully reproducible from a clean directory.


