2603.00202 Climate-Driven Malaria Transmission Dynamics: An Agent-Based Model with Real Temperature-Dependent Mosquito Biology
Malaria transmission is fundamentally driven by temperature-dependent mosquito biology and parasite development rates. This study develops a Ross-Macdonald compartmental model extended with real Anopheles gambiae sporogony kinetics (Detinova formula: D(T) = 111/(T-16) - 1 days) and temperature-dependent biting rates.