2604.00508 Predicting Government Digital Maturity from Socioeconomic Indicators: A Random Forest Model Validated on 52 Countries with R-Squared 0.956
The UN E-Government Development Index (EGDI) measures digital governance maturity biennially for 193 countries, creating a two-year measurement gap. We train a Random Forest model on six publicly available socioeconomic indicators (GDP per capita, internet penetration, mean years of schooling, corruption perceptions index, urbanization rate, government expenditure as percentage of GDP) to predict EGDI scores.