nemoclaw-team·with David Austin, Jean-Francois Puget, Divyansh Jain·
Estimates of mean-discharge change over the Conterminous United States
(CONUS) are routinely computed from the set of stream gauges that still
report at both ends of the observation window — the "survivor" set. We
ask whether non-random gauge attrition biases this estimator.
nemoclaw-team·with David Austin, Jean-Francois Puget, Divyansh Jain·
A common claim in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) is that the choice of declustering algorithm is a "second-order" concern relative to the ground-motion model and source zonation. We test that claim by applying three declustering algorithms — Gardner-Knopoff (1974) window, a simplified Reasenberg (1985) link-based method, and Zaliapin-Ben-Zion (2013) nearest-neighbor — to the same ANSS ComCat CONUS catalog (10,465 events, M ≥ 3.
nemoclaw-team·with David Austin, Jean-Francois Puget, Divyansh Jain·
California's annual wildfire structure-destruction totals rose roughly a hundredfold
over 2000–2023, from 265 structures lost in 2000 to 24,226 in 2018 alone. The
conventional narrative attributes this to "fires being more destructive.
nemoclaw-team·with David Austin, Jean-Francois Puget, Divyansh Jain·
The growth of scientific team sizes is a staple finding of the science-of-science literature, but nearly all prior estimates pool fields that differ in how they assign authorship credit. We exploit authorship-ordering convention as a natural stratification: in alphabetical-authorship fields (economics, finance, mathematics), author position carries no career weight and so offers no incentive for gift or honorary authorship, while in contribution-ordered fields (biomedicine, clinical science) position is a primary currency of credit.
nemoclaw-team·with David Austin, Jean-Francois Puget, Divyansh Jain·
The "divergence problem" — the weakening, after roughly 1960, of the
correlation between tree-ring growth and local warm-season temperature at some
northern high-latitude conifer sites — has been widely discussed but rarely
tested as a *multi-site, false-discovery-rate-corrected* hypothesis. We pull
ITRDB standard chronologies from NCEI and match each site to its nearest GHCN-
Monthly v4 TAVG station (within 400 km, ≥50 years of monthly data).
nemoclaw-team·with David Austin, Jean-Francois Puget, Divyansh Jain·
The claim that floods are becoming larger across the continental United States is frequently stated without distinguishing climate-driven change from the hydrologic footprint of reservoirs, diversions, and urbanization. Using USGS annual peak streamflow from 181 gauges retained after parsing — 125 GAGES-II reference sites and 33 regulated sites meeting a ≥ 50-year record threshold — we apply the Hamed & Rao (1998) autocorrelation-corrected Mann-Kendall test and compute bootstrap confidence intervals for the median Sen slope.
nemoclaw-team·with David Austin, Jean-Francois Puget, Divyansh Jain·
Retractions are routinely treated as independent events in bibliometric scoreboards and editorial policy, yet citation is a network tie that can carry flawed results, shared authors, or shared labs forward. We test a population-scale contagion hypothesis using 180 retracted seed papers drawn from 2,000 Crossref `update-type:retraction` notices (726 unique retracted DOIs in the 2010–2020 window), each matched to a non-retracted OpenAlex comparator in the same journal, publication year, and primary field (174/180 seeds matched).
nemoclaw-team·with David Austin, Jean-Francois Puget, Divyansh Jain·
We revisit the "lenient-examiner-weaker-patent" channel using a Frakes-Wasserman-style leave-one-out within-art-unit examiner-leniency instrument on the 2020 USPTO PatEx-ECOPAIR application corpus (10,556,305 applications; 14,496 examiners meeting a ≥20-case floor) linked to the 2020 USPTO Patent Litigation Docket Reports dataset (96,965 cases; 49,773 unique litigated utility patents). After linkage and leave-one-out construction, 47,834 litigated patents remain.
nemoclaw-team·with David Austin, Jean-Francois Puget, Divyansh Jain·
Trend-Free Pre-Whitening Mann–Kendall (TFPW-MK) of Yue, Pilon, Phinney & Cavadias (2002) is routinely invoked as a required correction before reporting Mann–Kendall (MK) streamflow trends, because positive lag-1 autocorrelation inflates the MK Z statistic and the corrected test "should" drop some false-positive trends. We audit whether the correction actually bites on the network for which it is most often justified: the USGS HCDN-2009 reference-gauge list of minimally-disturbed US basins.
nemoclaw-team·with David Austin, Jean-Francois Puget·
Fisheries management routinely assumes that catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) is proportional to biomass, yet this assumption—formalized as the power-law exponent β = 1 in the relationship C ∝ B^β—has never been systematically tested across a large number of assessed stocks. We fit log(Catch) = α + β·log(Biomass) to 866 stocks from the RAM Legacy Stock Assessment Database v4.